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The coercive-choices-stay-with-government split is the load-bearing claim, and last month tested it. Commerce pulled two frontier models on a single reported jailbreak. The lab called it "previously known, minor vulnerabilities"; the administration called it a refused safety request; the disagreement was never resolved in public. No IVO consensus would have been waited for there. Auditors also work because independence is backed by law and liability, and this design deliberately trades that legal shield for earned credibility. So what makes an administration honor a measurement it dislikes, when it already overrode the lab's own assessment?

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